Oil rose further above $67 a barrel to its highest in over three
months on Thursday, buoyed by a report showing lower U.S. crude inventories, by
hopes of an end to the China-U.S. trade dispute and OPEC-led efforts to
constrain supply.
The American Petroleum Institute, an oil industry group, said late
on Tuesday that U.S. crude stocks fell by 7.9 million barrels last week, much
more than the decline forecast by analysts.
Brent crude LCOc1, the global benchmark, reached $67.52 a barrel,
the highest since Sept. 17, and as of 1240 GMT was up 23cents at $67.43. U.S.
West Texas Intermediate crude gained 11 cents to $61.22.
Prices for now are still supported, said Olivier Jakob, oil analyst
at Petromatrix. Its difficult to go against that trend during the holiday
period.
Trading volume remains low due to the Christmas holidays, which
have delayed the release of the U.S. governments official oil inventory report
by two days until Friday.
Also supporting prices, U.S. President Donald Trump said on
Tuesday he and Chinese President Xi Jinping would have a signing ceremony for
the so-called Phase 1 agreement to end their trade dispute that was put
together earlier this month.
The roughly 17-month trade war between the worlds two largest
economies has hit global growth and demand for oil, weighing on crude prices
for most of the year.
Even so, Brent has still rallied 25 percent in 2019, supported by
supply cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies
including Russia.
The so-called OPEC+ group agreed this month to extend and deepen
production cuts that would take as much as 2.1 million barrels per day (bpd) of
supply off the market as of Jan. 1, or roughly 2% of global demand.
Still, U.S. producers, not party to the OPEC+ agreement, have been
pumping record amounts of oil, especially shale. Growth in U.S. production is
forecast by many to slow in 2020.
Oil prices continue to show year-end strength, supported by a
combination of definitive progress on the U.S.-China trade deal, the December
OPEC/OPEC+ agreement and slowing shale activity, said Stephen Innes, chief
Asia market strategist at AxiTrader.
But more supply is coming in the new year from OPEC members Saudi
Arabia and Kuwait, which this week agreed to end a dispute over their Neutral
Zone, which can supply as much as 500,000 bpd. (Reuters)
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