Fidelity bank card banner Camano banner
Here comes MINT: Nigeria among emergent global economic giants —int’l economic experts

By News Express on 10/01/2014

Views: 3,137

Nigeria’s President, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, has once more been vindicated in his decision to bring home immediate past World Bank Managing Director, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, and hand over the country’s economy to her to manage.

In yet another endorsement of the economic strategies of the Jonathan administration, Nigeria has been tipped by international economic experts as part of the economic bloc which would soon take the world by storm. The emergent economic bloc has been termed MINT, which stands for Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey. Below is an article on the MINT phenomenon in today’s edition of The Guardian of London entitled ‘Mint condition: countries tipped as the next economic powerhouses’:

Forget the Brics and the Civets, Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey are the new kids on the bloc according to economists

First it was the Brics. For a while the Civets were in vogue. Now the Mints are the ones to watch. Confused? Well, once you know your acronyms it all becomes clear.

The Brics are Brazil, Russia, India and China – four emerging economies lumped together in 2001 by Jim O’Neill, then at Goldman Sachs, to show that western investors needed to take notice of what was happening in the post-cold war global economy.

Robert Ward, of the Economist Intelligence Unit, linked Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt and Turkey but the Civets never really took off. Now O’Neill is championing the Mints, a name first coined by the fund managers Fidelity, for what he thinks will be the second generation of emerging market pace-setters: Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey.

The Mints share some common features. They all have big and growing populations with plentiful supplies of young workers. That should help them grow fast when ageing and shrinking populations will lead inexorably to slower growth rates in many developed countries (and China) over the coming decades.

And they are nicely placed geographically to take advantage of large markets nearby, with Indonesia close to China, Turkey on the edge of the European Union and Mexico on America's doorstep.

Nigeria’s geographical advantages are less immediately obvious, although it does have the potential to become the hub of Africa’s economy at a time when the continent is enjoying a sustained period of strong expansion.

Strong growth in Asia has pushed up demand for the fuel and raw materials needed for industrialisation and three of the Mints – Mexico, Indonesia and Nigeria – are leading commodity producers. Of the four, only Nigeria is not already a member of the G20 group of developed and developing countries.

Even so, financial markets are wary about treating what is actually a disparate group of countries as a bloc. If the Brics are now a bit old hat, it is in part because their reputations are a little tarnished.

Western investors who piled into Bric stock markets expecting to make a packet have had their fingers burned and in recent years would have done better keeping their money at home. Only China has really lived up to the growth hype and is now the world's second biggest economy.

But even then stock market performance has been weak and there are now concerns that attempts by Beijing to move to an economic model less dependent on credit will lead to a hard landing in 2014.

At one point India looked likely to rival China as the emerging market powerhouse but it had a wretched 2013, suffering from high inflation, a rising current account deficit and a run on the rupee.

Russia is seen as over-dependent on its oil and gas sector and unfriendly towards foreign investors; Brazil, like many other emerging economies, proved vulnerable to hot money flows.

Tanweer Akram, economist at ING Investment Management, notes that investors pulled back from several emerging markets last year and are likely to be discriminating in the future, reducing exposure to “countries that are vulnerable on the basis of current account deficit, inflation above target and muted growth”.

Turkey and Indonesia are both countries where the bullish investor mood of a couple of years ago has been replaced by a more cautious approach. Of the two, Turkey is the more immediate concern, with the International Monetary Fund calling late last year for interest rates to be raised by 2.5 percentage points to tackle 8% inflation.

Nigeria is seen as more attractive in part because it has shown strong growth despite its long-term structural problems: power shortages, corruption and a poor education system.

The markets like the market-friendly reforms in Mexico and see it, rather than Brazil, as Latin America's best bet. Even so, Mexico's fortunes are closely linked to those of its powerful neighbour across the Rio Grande.

In one sense, the very notion of Brics and Mints is helpful. It illustrates the way in which the economic balance of power has shifted from the developed to the developing world over the past 20 years and will continue to do so over the next 20.

In Nigeria's case, it illustrates the possibility that the next “tiger” economies could well be in Africa.

But it is well to remember that the countries are only grouped together because they make a neat acronym. They are all different; the suggestion that they are not is Colombia, Oman, Burundi, Botswana, Laos, Egypt, Romania, Sudan.

•Photo shows Nigeria’s Finance Minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.

Source News Express

Posted 10/01/2014 9:41:39 PM





You may also like...
TUC boss rues negative impact of oil theft,...

No time to waste: PDP SETS UP COMMITTEE...

Commotion in court as man drinks poison during...

Facebook holds Election Integrity Exhibition in Lagos

Ekiti INEC Secretary kidnapped

DSS allegedly 'secretly moved Zakzaky at night' to...

Uduaghan shocked, dumbfounded over former ADC’s death

Tragedy in Anambra: Food poisoning claims 6 children...

Gov. Sani-Bello secures Niger APC second term ticket,...

Chanchangi’s death colossal loss to Kaduna: El-Rufai •He...

Bayelsa chieftaincy tussle brews violence

Customs inducted into FOI ‘Hall of Shame’


Latest News Okowa mourns as veteran journalist, Odafe Othihiwa dies at 77 Tarakiri Monarch condemns violence, condoles with bereaved families, Ofoni and Toru-Orua communities on sons’ death Ighalo dumps Super Eagles Return order: Northern Coalition replies Buhari on counter directive Ganduje inaugurates committee for Ruga settlement Bandits kill over 20 in Sokoto Imo Govt. inaugurates committee to probe LG administration Insecurity: Security agencies not telling Nigerians truth — Gadzama Group to Buhari: We’ll hold you responsible for killing of Northerners NGO offers free treatment to 700 patients Knife attack: Police arrests man for assault on EKEDC official NLNG, LCCI promote breakthrough in electric power in Nigeria


Most Read NUDE PHOTO OF OMOTOLA JALADE-EKEINDE surfaces online (509,529 views) Nigerian female sex addict opens up, says ‘I like it with both men and women’ (431,396 views) Shameless Genevieve Nnaji exposes breasts in public (373,318 views) Finally named: The full list of friends of Nigerian female sex addict who prowled Facebook (316,653 views) OLUMBA OLUMBA OBU (the one who called himself God) IS DEAD (282,344 views) Igbo scholar disgraces Femi Fani-Kayode •Demolishes claims on Igbo/Yoruba history with facts and figures (247,134 views) Breaking News: POPULAR REVEREND CONVERTS TO ISLAM in Kaduna (Nigeria) (239,119 views) 10 cars more expensive than Jets (223,432 views) OBJ’s son reported dead in Lagos plane crash •Names of more victims emerge (221,129 views) My wasted years in Olumba Olumba Obu’s Evil Brotherhood (208,665 views) Lagos plane crash: Journalist releases victims’ names (188,284 views) THE FINAL DISGRACE: Igbo scholar unleashes more facts about Igbo/Yoruba history, finishes off Femi Fani-Kayode with second article (186,920 views)


NLNG Job Vacancy

CBN banner advert

UBA Wise Savers Promo


Categories Advertorials (3) African Press Organisation (81) Art & Literature (97) Business & Economy (4,356) Business Verdict (76) Columnists (1,074) Complaints & Requests (95) Enterprise & Opportunities (211) Entertainment (635) Features (779) Global Business Monitor (395) ICT Monitor (53) International (3,721) Interview (192) Live Commentary (30) Love Matters (163) Maggie's Blog (338) News (48,792) Opinion (1,290) Pidgin (17) Politics (11,166) Religion (1,051) Sports (2,101) Stock Watch (39) AMA & Al Jazeera Global Update






APO Group Partner




GOCOP Accredited Member

GOCOP Accredited member



Africa Media Agency and Al Jazeera